Monday, January 23, 2012

Whirling Darvish

Editor's Note: I wrote all of this piece about Yu Darvish last week, these football topics are added last minute

Rest in Peace Joe Paterno. It's still sad that his career ended the way it did, but now his life itself followed that same ignominious end. I truly believe that if he was still the coach at Penn State, he would still be alive. Nothing excuses any wrong conduct or omissions he may have had in his role in the Sandusky scandal, but let's all at least take the time to remember what he was to all of college football 3 short months ago.

Quick notes on Sunday's title games:

1. Lee Evans is bad.


2. Billy Cundiff (former crappy Cowboys kicker) is bad.


3. Tom Brady is mortal.
4. Holding New England to 23 points should have been enough to win.
5. Anquan Boldin should have had 18 receptions for 263 yards with Julian Edelman on him all game. The fact Flacco couldnt hit him every time shows why Flacco isn't good.
6. I didnt watch anything but the 4th quarter and OT of the NFC game, and Eli Manning took a beating in what i saw. Each pass rush was excellent. 
7. Going 0 for 12 in the game on 3rd down conversions should be an automatic loss. (No i don't count the last one which was a gift and completely irrelevant to the game)
8. When you are punt returner in a game that is a  defensive struggle you never field a punt rolling on the wet ground, or even think about it. Youd never get in trouble if you let it go, you will get in trouble if you let it bounce off of you for a fumble.
9. Even when your punt returner fumbles the ball off his leg, don't let a team score on 3rd and 13, especially one you have been dominating all day.


 10. Honestly though that was a very good throw and catch from Manning to Manningham.


For all my taunting and razzing of Niners fans, I still think you should hold your heads up high. It was a season never anticipated and gave you guys meaningful football for the first time in a decade. Now we can commiserate together on our hatred of Bitchface Eli.

I will refrain from doing a full analysis of these games and save them for next week. I also hope to have a special treat in the next couple of weeks as I attempt to take this blog to the next level. I will get this on paper though: The current Super Bowl spread of Patriots -3 is laughable. Its 6 points too high. It should be Giants -3. Unwavering prediction: NY Giants 31 New England 27.


The real big news just came out of Dallas last Wednesday that Yu Darvish, the most highly sought after Japanese import since Daisuke Matsusaka, has signed with the Rangers. Unlike many of my fellow bloggers, I had absolutely no trepidation with this entire process. If we didn't secure Darvish we get our 51 million dollar posting fee back and hand it immediately over to Prince Fielder. I understand we lost CJ Wilson but I think lost is a relative term. CJ Wilson was one of the worst "aces" I have ever seen start for a World Series team. He has good stuff and he can help a team especially like Anaheim who already has two much better tier 1 starters in Weaver and Haren, but it is clear he can't be number 1 material for a World Series contending team.





So then, what is Texas ever to do? Well the first thing they did was sign Joe Nathan right away in the offseason. That gives them a veteran presence in the bullpen to move Neftali Feliz to the rotation where he belongs. At age 23, Feliz can be next Felix Hernandez. Feliz came into camp last year as possible rotation man to replace Cliff Lee and in spring training he showed those electric secondary pitches that made him Baseball America's number 9 overall prospect heading into 2010 and the number 2 pitcher behind only Stephen Strasburg. In the end, the Rangers could not find enough reliable end game relievers and had to move him back to the bullpen. But with the acquisition of both Mike Adams and Joe Nathan in the last 6 months the Rangers are free to move young Feliz into the rotation, and that is precisely where he is going this year. Feliz by all accounts is a better pitcher than Wilson and if anyone knows their history, Wilson was a closer before becoming an All-Star pitcher under the tuteluge of Mike Maddux. I think Feliz can do the same.

Why then the pursuit of Darvish? We filled the hole and then some left by Wilson. Well, in baseball you need pitching and you can never get enough. Its why teams like Philadelphia, Anaheim, San Francisco, Atlanta, and even Tampa Bay have even been competitive the last couple of years. Outside of Philly who actually does have some offensive talent, those other teams have had average to below average lineups over the last couple of years. Hitters can be streaky or unlucky, pitchers on the other hand make their own streaks or luck. Being a pitcher is like being the server in a game of tennis or racquetball. You have the advantage knowing what type of serve you are making and where it is going and when executed correctly you can induce weak returns, or even no return at all. The more pitchers you have that can execute properly the more likely you are to win a series, to prevent lengthy losing streaks and to keep the pressure off the offense from having to produce every single night.



Phildelphia didn't win 102 games because Ryan Howard hit 33 home runs. The Phillies didnt go nearly the whole season from opening day to September 10th compiling a record of 94-48 and suffering only two losing streaks of 3 or more the whole time because Jimmy Rollins and Shane Victorino set the table for Chase Utley. They did it because they had 4 guys who could go out and execute and not rely on offense. Even bad teams get their wins from pitching. The Oakland A's and Seattle Mariners won 74 and 67 games respectively on the backs on Gio Gonzalez, Trevor Cahill, Miquel Pineda and Felix Hernandez. They certainly didnt win because of offense, since I doubt either team's offense rated comparably to a little league squad.

So why not Darvish? Why not have the possibility of securing a potential second ace to go with a very effective back end of the rotation with Lewis, Holland, and Harrison? Every concern was related to Japanese pitcher fatigue by GMs and baseball scouts after the recent "failures" of Daisuke Matsusaka and Kei Igawa. There were no concerns about size, age, makeup, just that hes a highly touted Japanese pitcher and they have all failed here. While it is a ton of money to spend just to purchase his contract from Japan ($51.7 mil), his contract itself was very cost friendly for the ceiling (6 years, $60 mil). By the time he finishes the contract he could be beyond his prime and a new evaluation made. He could be a dominant force here, and considering this Rangers front office scouted him for 3 full years before he could even sign with anyone, I'm going to trust their judgment. They havent made a wrong move yet. Besides, in 2015 Texas starts making 80 mil a year just from TV revenue, they can afford this gamble. Last side note, we paid 65 mil over 5 years fro Chan Ho Park, who never generated this much excitement. Cant do worse than that contract. I just cant wait for spring training to unwrap our new present.

Besides we had to do something to stop the talk of Wilson and pujols to the Angels. I think we did. We will officially eliminate them from baseball if we sign Prince too. One can dream...







Tuesday, January 17, 2012

Haters Gonna Hate

This blog is dedicated to my man Martin Luther King, Jr. As an avid historian and card carrying ACLU member, learning about MLK was one of the more interesting topics for me in school. He embodied everything I thought an American legend should be. His idea that people should only be classified by who they are, not what they looked like, is so rudimentary to me yet so groundbreaking a mere 50 years ago it's amazing it took so long for it to take hold. But his willingness to stand up in the face of vitriolic racism and ultimately his own death through terrorism symbolized what it means to fight using freedom of speech. Everyone with a blog, a podcast, an opinion column, a pen and paper should pay some homage to a man who truly used his voice and wouldn't be silenced by anything, not even his own death. His speeches still raise goosebumps and his message will never be forgotten.


And in his honor I'm going to use my voice this week to express my displeasure at what happened this weekend in football. Probably my two favorite non Cowboys/Chargers players, Drew Brees and Tim Tebow lost. Fucking bitchface Eli won. Alex Smith is somehow a quarterback now and beautiful Tom and his band of very merry men continue to scare everyone. I am done with football for the year. I could cheer for the Ravens, but I feel like that is cheering for serial rapists with the attitudes on that team. Let's reminisce.

So we were treated to the best game of the weekend first: NO v SF. The first half was one of the ugliest two quarters of football I have ever seen, especially from the Saints side. 4 turnovers by the Saints yielded a mere 17 for the 49ers, but the biggest one was probably the first one on the first drive by the Saints. Looking to score and set the tone for the game Brees hits Pierre Thomas for a short pass and Donte Whitner comes smashing his head into Pierre Thomas' head knocking out Thomas and causing a fumble. The Saints were ready to score there and instead of starting out down 17-0, they would have been up 3-0 or 7-0 and the complexion of the game would have certainly been different.


What I can't believe about that play is that it's totally legal. The NFL has spent the past half decade protecting players heads, but if you are a running back (or a receiver who has caught a ball and is heading up field) a defender can still aim for your head as long as it's not spearing with the helmet.

In the second half of the game we got treated to some sloppy play, and then the most exciting two and a half minutes of football ever. Despite 5 turnovers by the Saints, they were losing as Alex Smith faced a 3rd and 7 with about 2:15 to play. Then came the most inexplicable play call ever (especially considering what was called later in the game, just bear with me) - a naked bootleg. It was a beautiful call because it resulted in the most improbably touchdown ever, but it was so conservative it led me to believe that Jim Harbaugh was trying to play to not lose. A field goal in that situation with 2 minutes left gives you a 2 point lead and about 1:45 too much on the clock for Drew Brees to drive down to field goal range for the win.

So the 49ers score with 2:11 left. Brees takes all of 34 seconds to take the lead back on a nice play to Jimmy Graham that involved some uncharacteristically shoddy tackling by the 49ers. Up by 3 with a a minute and a half to go and Alex Smith rendered one dimensional i thought the game was over. Then Alex Smith completed a Drew Brees like 47 yard pass to Vernon Davis to set up at least a tying field goal attempt. They gain 6 more yards, spike the ball with like 14 seconds left and one chance to win from 14 yards if they want to take it. If you are a 49ers fan at this point raise your hand if you thought at the time that Alex Smith dropping back to pass for the win was a terrible idea. So unlike the previous drive, Harbaugh played to win, put the ball in Alex Smith's hands and told him not to get picked off and to go win the game. Lo and behold, thats what happened. Alex Smith and Vernon Davis connected on a nice slant route that won the game. I couldn't believe what I saw and I can't believe I have to endure a full week of gloating from all the annoying 49er fans out there.


This is how you make sports fun when you dont have a horse in the race: hate. I hate the 49ers. When you run into each other 3 straight years in the NFC Championship game during your youth you learn to hate the other team. 49ers fans probably hate the Cowboys more than any team in their division. It makes sports enjoyable to cheer against teams, and that is perfectly fine. So i have something to cheer for next week right? A 49ers loss? What could possibly ruin that?

Eli Manning going into Lambeau and manhandling the 15-1 Packers is what could ruin it. I can say for sure I hate the Giants more than the 49ers. For those who didnt see, you got pretty sloppy play from the Packers and more consistent play like weve seen the last 3 weeks from the Giants. So what do we get out of it? An 8th playoff matchup all time between the 49ers and Giants. I think im definitely going to hit the golf course Sunday afternoon. What do you do when two of your most hated franchises make the title game in your conference? Don't watch that's what.


I don't even want to make a prediction on this game because it means one of them wins, but since I must for journalistic integrity: Giants 27 49ers 17.

Three reasons why: The Giants are simply playing the best football of anyone in the conference; the 49ers barely won at home against a team who can't play on the road in grass despite 5 turnovers; the 49ers just aren't that good. So at the very least out of this weekend I wont have to endure another two weeks of 49ers super bowl hype. That will be nice.

Not much to talk about in the AFC. I think everyone has just been waiting to get to the Baltimore New England game since those were hands down the two best teams clearly all year in the AFC. Getting there was easy for New England: Denver's defense just didnt show up. Seriously can you please just cover Gronkowski? You have two full seasons of film on the guy. Figure it out already.


For Baltimore, I think two things happened that is going to cause Baltimore to unreasonably be significant underdogs in this game. First, they played down to their competition, specifically at QB. The Ravens didn't fear TJ Yates and they played just enough defense to let their 20 points dictate the game. Everyone is going to lament the fact that Baltimore only scored 3 points in the final 3 quarters but take a step back here. Baltimore is up 17-3 at home against a rookie QB. They have probably scored all the points they need (and did). Baltimore shut it down fast and were never threatened the rest of the game. Second, Houston's defense is really good. Like irrationally underrated good. They were 2nd in total yardage, 3rd in passing yardage, 4th in rushing yardage, and 4th in points allowed. Despite this they turned in 17 points in the first quarter and cruised the rest of the way.


This is why betting on Baltimore is the best bet of the weekend. Too much is made of the previous week and things routinely aren't looked at rationally. Baltimore will score against New England and they will score enough to beat them. Their defense is plenty good to hold New England down and they are precisely the team you never want to play when they are given no chance to win. No betting site has less than a 7.5 point spread. That ludicrous. Baltimore wins this game: Baltimore 23 New England 20.

A Baltimore New York Super Bowl? Sigh. What do you guys think out there in the blogosphere? Do enjoy seeing teams you hate lose as much as seeing teams you like win? For you 49ers fans what will do when you suffer the same fate and have your season terminated by Bitchface Manning?

Thursday, January 12, 2012

Wait...Basketball Started?

Welcome to a bonus issue of my blog! Basketball season is back, I suppose, but the way teams are playing it doesn't seem like many players are all the way there.As I'm fishing through my three fantasy teams (at least 1 too many) I'm noticing that box scores are missing something: triple digit scoring. At the end of last year 11 teams averaged more than 100 points a game. This year: 5, with only 1 team at 99 and 2 teams at 98. Contrast last year, where no one averaged fewer than 90, to this year where 5 are in the 80's, including Detroit at a super low 82.8 a game.

I wouldn't be so concerned with it if we werent already 15-18% done with the season. But watching Dallas slug it out to a 90-85 victory the other night, and looking at the Lakers winning 90-87 in OVERTIME (yes it took an extra 5 minutes to get just one team to 90), and the Clippers beating Miami 95-89, also in overtime, I figured something was up. And I don't like it. The lockout really killed this first part of the basketball season, and who knows maybe with the schedule and lack of practice it killed the entire season. All I know is watching retro 80s basketball is no fun, and after last year's awesome season the NBA really took a step backwards this year.


This is quite different from the NFL lockout and how the schedule was handled there. Many free agents had a shortened camp but the season was still 16 games long and was regularly paced with 1 game a week and the players can actually practice and learn schemes and get into shape. The NBA's biggest mistake was trying to cram 66 games in the schedule that ends roughly the same time as if there was never a lockout. This is dumb. Why can't the NBA schedule into late July? It's not like the arenas are needed for anything during those months (outside of concerts which are easily worked around). Plus July is that dry month where all that happens is baseball fatigue (90-100 games already played, but 60 more to go). There is no football, there is no hockey, there is no major golf tournament, and even the Summer Olympics do not start until July 27.

So why did the NBA feel it needed to cram the season in and end the Finals in late June? With the structure of this season, injuries become much more devastating (and much more likely as players have to get into shape via playing games instead of practice), new players are being poorly integrated into lineups (see Lamar Odom), and the intensity comes down as players have to grind 4 games in 5 nights or the dreaded 3 in a row, including travel. I feel like the NBA took all of it's momentum and threw it away with this horseshit schedule. There is absolutely no buzz around the NBA right now and for good reason. The product sucks. I will happily stand on a mountain and for all of my fans of The League shout the words "This Season is Null and Void!!!"


Hopefully, it's just an extended preseason and not a trend for the NBA because this is garbage basketball. And because this is a bonus issue you get a bonus topic too! Some other big news this week is the Big 6 college football commissioners coming together and indicating a willingness to do a plus 1 or in other words, 4 team playoff. I have never been a fan of the plus 1, only because you don't get a good cross section of talent in the playoffs. The playoffs have to be as much about making money as the BCS bowls were for the commissioners to sign off on it. In a 4 team playoff you would have probably missed out on seeing Oregon, Wisconsin, and West Virginia (I add them because they finally got a full year under Holgorsen by the bowl game), all very good teams who on any given day in the playoffs could play with anyone. We would have gotten LSU playing Stanford and OK St. playing Alabama. Pretty good but i don't think its a great field compared to what you could have.

The playoffs have to be at least 6, and probably 8 for it to be worthwhile. The system is so simple I can not stand the fact it hasn't been implemented yet. This will address every problem possible:

1. Leave all the lesser bowls intact. There were some awesome games this bowl season and there usually are every year. Kids who play for Toledo, or Utah State, or Univ. of Louisiana, Lafayette finally get a chance to play on national television. The bowls raise enough money to give the conference some added revenue. There is no reason these can't exist.

2. An 8 team playoff requires 7 games, 4 one round, 2 the following, and then the championship game. That means the Fiesta, Rose, Sugar, and Orange Bowls all get the first round and then you alternate each year who gets the semi finals and the championship and which bowl gets left out. This actually doubles the bowl money for nearly every bowl every year, plus doubles the money How can you turn this down? Yes it means you lose two at larges, but really I think we all could have done without the Michigan-Virginia Tech game and every year the last two teams in usually aren't that good.


3. But, what about the kids academics? For one thing no one involved in the decision making really cares. A few examples: Oregon on the quarter system has their finals December 5-9. The Pac-12 championship game was held on the 2nd. UCLA, who by the way also played in the game, had their finals start the 3rd. Where is the outcry about those kids academics regarding the Pac-12 championship game? Nowhere, because no one really cares. It's a disingenuous argument against a playoff system.

For the sake of argument let's say they do care. All quarter schools have their exams well before right after conference championship games. Then they are off until January. Alabama, which is a semester system has their exams from the 12-16th then they are off into January as well. Let's use this year for example: Give all the playoff teams a bye week after conference championship games and you start the playoffs on friday the 16th and saturday the 17th (or all 4 games on the 17th). Everyone is done with their finals. They had the off week to actually study if they cared. Finals week they take their tests and have ample practice time. Then you run the semi finals the 24th and the kids get home for Christmas. You give them a bye week and bring back the championship game around the same time as the BCS title game was this year. The players are off school for most of this. Academics has nothing to do with it and in fact you actually get postseason games where the teams aren't on mega 43 day layoffs between games and get one team that looks super rusty every year in the BCS title game.

4. But that's too many games for college kids. In reality you are only extending the season for 4 teams, 2 play 1 extra game, 2 play 2 extra. Furthermore those teams most likely to play in a playoff system schedule some low low level DIA or some D1AA team at least once a year. Just give the option of getting rid of one crappy non-conference game for schools that don't want to schedule it. Otherwise shut up, 116 out of 120 schools will not have their schedules extended by this system.


5. But we have such an outcry when basketball snubs number 69 from the field of 68, can you imagine what happens in football when we snub number 9? First off, who cares? There will always be unhappy teams in tournament selection processes. That shouldn't even be a concern. Plus the teams that get snubbed in basketball have no chance to play for a title. In football youd be hard pressed to find 9 or 10 teams that have a legitimate shot to win it all. This year it was LSU, Oklahoma St, Alabama, Oregon, Stanford, Wisconsin, Boise State (I still think they were a top 8 team) and what...arkansas, clemson, west virginia?I mean I just got to 8 and im already naming teams that have no shot really. If you aren't a top 8 team you have no shot. Snubs happen, it gives us something to talk about, whether it be for a spot in march madness or a spot on NBA All Star team, it's definitely not a reason to hold back a solid system.

So BCS commissioners, you get more money, you don't impact academics, you hardly extend the schedule, you end the season the same time, and you only get in teams that have a real shot at winning. What am I missing here? A plus 1 is nice and good step, but I want 8! I want to watch more games like OK St and Stanford and Oregon and Wisconsin. What do you all think out there?

Monday, January 9, 2012

I Think He Earned More Than $250,000

Well at least I didn't break my New Year's Resolution yet...I managed to get out this week's column in nearly record breaking fashion.

Of course everyone wants to know, what the hell does my title mean? Well, apparently Tim Tebow has an escalator clause in his contract that gives him an extra $250,000 bonus if he won a playoff game while playing in at least 70% of the snaps this regular season for the Broncos. He played in 73% and thus won himself a cool quarter of a million when he zipped that slant pass into Demaryius Thomas for the game winning touchdown on Sunday.


But what Tebow really earned was what he needed all along. He earned the confidence and respect of his coaching staff and front office and earned the right to be the unquestioned starter entering the 2012 NFL season. Tim has never had an offseason where he was the unquestioned starter at QB and he can only improve with a full offseason of starter reps in OTAs and training camp.

The talking heads in the sports community need to get it through their thick heads that Tebow will be a QB in the NFL and odds are he will be a QB for a long time in the NFL. Playing QB is not about arm strength or mechanics or size (even though Tim has two of those things), its purely about intelligence, repetitions with your own players, repetitions in seeing opposing defenses, hard work, and handling the pressure of being the face of your franchise.

Drew Brees was a 2nd round pick because he was small, even though anyone who followed college football knew Drew Brees had the makeup of being an NFL starter. Philip Rivers, predicted by many to be an MVP candidate this year and who has had several successful seasons as an NFL player has some of the worst mechanics you'll ever see. Ditto to Vince Young, but what did Vince get from the media? The dude just knows how to win.

Tebow knows how to win in this league. Trust your strength in your defense, take care of the ball, and make the plays in the clutch. Eli Manning is not a good quarterback, (see 25 interceptions last year and numerous huge plays this year and previous years where his talented receivers bailed him out time and again) but he is a media darling for his ability to run the 4th quarter.

Meanwhile Tebow is routinely criticized in the media for his unorthodox mechanics and generally excuses are made as to why he wins. Oh their schedule was easy, oh the defense is the only reason they win, oh the Steelers were hurt. The Steelers won 12 games for crying out loud. Trust me they didnt win them because they had Mendenhall, or because Pouncey was their center, they won because the Steelers, like the Broncos know how to win games as a team. Yet almost no credit is given to Tebow and the Broncos for winning this one. All credit is do to the injury bug for allowing the Broncos the good fortune of playing the hurt Steelers.



Besides being football's version of Mariano Rivera or Dirk Nowitzki as their sports' premier closers, Tebow knows how not to lose the game in the first 3 quarters. Besides the Bills and Chiefs games at the end of the season Tebow is very careful with the ball. Perhaps too careful to the point it looks like he throws the ball in the dirt or 12 feet over a receiver's head when really he is just protecting the ball. I can name 10 teams in the NFL right now that would kill for a quarterback that knew what it meant to take care of the ball and i can name 32 NFL head coaches that will tell you the most important thing in the NFL is to not give easy scoring chances through the turnover.

Tebow's career is in its infancy, he has only started 15 games including Sunday's postseason game. He has done it in the crucible of the most intense media scrutiny and he has done it with class. There is nothing to hate about Tebow the person, and if you hate Tebow the person because he wears his spirtuality on his sleeve and seems too good to be true, then take a look in the mirror. Sports are rife with players that provide poor examples of how to lead a decent life, but good examples are few and far between. Tebow takes the criticisms even from his own team and uses them to be a better player and person. Theres not a lot to hate about Tebow the player either, if you hate Tebow the player take a look at your team and see if it could use a player like him. Because I'm sure it does. But continue hating him, he's going to be around a good long time to torture teams and its fans.

Of course, there was more action than the Tebow bowl this past weekend. The Saints are running a souped up version of the 1999 St. Louis Rams offense that just proved too much for a very game Detroit Lions team. Keep your head up Detroit, as long as Stafford stays healthy I think you guys have a brighter future than my beloved Cowboys do. But man, how about that Saints offense. I think Sean Payton could take any 1 QB, 4 receivers, 1 scatback, and 1 tight end and turn them into pro bowl players. He is unstoppable....unless you get on grass. 2 of the 3 Saints losses were on grass, and their two lowest point totals in wins (22 - Tenn, 23 - Jacksonville) were on the road in grass.


So heads up you punkass 49er fans, by getting homefield for this game, you gave yourself the only chance of beating the Saints...by playing on grass. Of course the 49ers may struggle even to get to that 22, 23 point mark. They have had a wonderful season by all accounts, and again kudos to Harbaugh, but he, like Tebow, needs a full season of OTAs and training camps to really get this offense going. Prediction: New Orleans 27 San Francisco 17.

In the other NFC game, bitchface Eli won again. Im so sick of the Giants. I'm so sick of any team with the nickname Giants. New York Giants, San Francisco Giants, god I hate them all. Congratulations for beating a mediocre Falcons team that never really seemed like a contender all year. Dallas could've done that. Now New York gets to take their two trick pony (Eli chucks it up, gets saved by Victor Cruz on offense; rush 4 super fast D-linemen at the QB on defense) to Green Bay and face a team that has looked like a contender all year. The game in week 13 between these two was unreasonable close, and likely a product of Green Bay sagging a little as the weight of a perfect season grew bigger. New York has no chance despite what all those east coast media tards think. Prediction: Green Bay 38 New York 24.


There were two AFC playoff games? I only thought Tebow mattered. Oh...right, Houston and Cincinnati. Not much to say about that one other than TJ Yates had nearly the same completion line (11/20), has Andre Johnson, and no one is talking shit about him not having a chance in the NFL. For the record, I think TJ has a bright future in Houston, he is another QB that had some good college success but played on a garbage team and got absolutely no recognition. Cincinnati overachieved this year, but they have a bright future too, provided they can get all the druggies off their team. Houston has no chance on the road in Baltimore. That team has never experienced what they are about to run into in Baltimore. Experience and talent wins out. Prediction: Baltimore 23 Houston 7.

Lastly, the Tebow bowl, part 2. The Broncos played well in the first matchup this season, albeit it was in Denver. No moment is too big for the "no one believed in us" Broncos, but again they run into too much offensive talent in new England. If they gave up 23 to Pittsburgh, they are definitely giving up 30+ to New England. Tebow can't overcome that and when he tries, he will be blasted again. So sad. Prediction: New England 34, Denver 20.

Oh yeah, we have a national championship game tonight in the college ranks. These may be the two best teams, but its just not an exciting matchup. The first game was fun with some highlight plays, but the game is just a grind. Like watching the San Francisco Baltimore game this year. Someone is getting in the end zone this time, maybe even twice! I'm going to go with the team that has had the tougher schedule and has shown the most talent this year, and also has the most talented player. That means Geaux Tigers!


They are a game against Oklahoma State short of beating the best that college football has to offer this year. Let's run this down: they beat Oregon without their best QB on a neutral field. Oregon only won the Pac-12 and beat a Wisconsin team that is likely one of the 5 or 6 best teams this year. Oh yeah Oregon took care of Stanford in convincing fashion too. The score of the LSU Oregon game? 40-27. The took down West Virginia in West Virginia 47-21. Yeah the same West Virginia that just hung 70 in the Orange Bowl and beat the best the ACC has to offer. LSU took down Alabama once this year IN Alabama. I count three games not at home against 10 team opponents. Add in a spanking at home given to Arkansas 41-17, which was only the 7th team in the nation and got jobbed out of a BCS bowl (Va Tech, Michigan, really?) and a spanking given to the Georgia Bulldogs 42-10 who were 14th at the time in the SEC Championship game that was played in, you guessed it, Georgia. Alabama can't possibly present any challenge that LSU hasn't already seen and overcome. Bama had nice wins, but nothing like what LSU did this year. I go with Tyrann Mathieu aka The Honey Badger (who should've won the Heisman if that award actually went to the best player in football) and the LSU Tigers. Prediction: LSU 16 Alabama 10.

Enjoy the end of the college football season and good luck to those fans whose teams are still in the hunt for the Lombardi!

P.S. I wrote this blog piece the day of the BCS title game. Clearly I overestimated Jordan Jefferson's ability to run an offense. Still I pin this one on the coaching staff. I counted a half dozen option plays that were all run with similar ineptitude. When the first couple don't work, running the option another 3 or 4 times is not smart. They took what amounted to about 2 shots down field. One was almost caught, the next one was. The game plan was too conservative and that really put too much pressure on the LSU defense. I expect LSU to be back next year, they have so much young talent, and an actual QB starting for them next year in Zach Mettenberger.

Thursday, January 5, 2012

Ringing in the New Year

Ok folks, I have been MIA from this place for a long time but it was my New Year's Resolution (honestly) to get a post out every week at minimum. I know my loyal readers enjoy the blog pieces so I owe it to you all to give a consistent quality product. If I don't you can get a refund.

This blog is dedicated to the wonderful year of sports in 2011. Let's start with my favorite: Baseball.

Baseball fans, both casual and dedicated, were treated to one of the best World Series in recent memory (certainly since the 2001 and 2002 World Series where the Angels beat the Giants in 2002 in eerily similar fashion to this years world series, and the upstart Diamondbacks winning in seven by doing the unthinkable: scoring a winning run off Mariano Riviera). Unfortunately for me, my team was on the losing end again.


This picture makes me sick. After several back and forth games, we were treated to the best of the best in a Game 6 performance that saw Texas come within one strike to win it all....twice. The second time after apparently God told Josh Hamiltion (playing through the entire World Series with a sports hernia and having no power whatsoever) that he would hit a home run and did in the top of the 10th to put Texas up by 2, only to see St. Louis come back again and ultimately win the game and the series. Congratulations St. Louis, may you roast in hell.

Beyond that we were treated to an amazing playoff race that saw the Cardinals (and Rays) get into the playoffs when it was seemingly inconceivable. Baseball is supposed to be that purely statistical sport where all the odds balance out in its 162 games and you have clear playoff teams. Not this year. It was one of the most exciting nights of baseball watching the Braves and Red Sox lose, while simultaneously watching the Rays and Cardinals win to get into the playoffs. It was an exceptionally good year for baseball and next year only proves to be better as we expand to 5 playoff teams, and several huge name players are on the move including Albert Pujols to the hated Angels.

In football this year we were treated to a shocking playoff run by the Packers, that after this full season has played out was only the start for this storied franchise. Led by that Berkeley hippie Aaron Rodger and his touchdown championship belt we have watched the makings of the first juggernaut and dynasty since the Patriots of a decade ago.


While it is true in the middle of this we had a labor dispute, no one in their right mind (including this blogger) felt as though the NFL would break its golden egg. We missed precisely one game (a meaningless pre-season game) and all in all we got an NFL season we largely predicted and actually had some unique level of excitement to it.

Tebowmania sprung forth with a vengeance this year and I ate up every bit of it. This kid has moxie and I think with a full offseason of OTAs, trainign camp and the ability to really get to know his offense and receivers he can be better than he was this year. It's amazing the Broncos even made the playoffs and to honor that achievement we take a moment of silence for a little Tebowing.


In other news, the Cowboys of the 10's continued to act like the Cowboys of the 00's and frankly in the 17 years ive gone without any real playoff success im starting to get highly agitated. There is a malaise that sits in over the team in December and January and no one can explain it. It's not Tony Romo's fault or Jason Garrett's fault, or even Jerry Jones refusing to give up his GM title. It's simply the Dallas Cowboys' fault. They just can not seem to become the team they have the ability to become. Sounds a lot like my surrogate hometown Chargers too.

We got some surprises this year: 13-3 49ers (Harbaugh is easily coach of the year), Andy Dalton and AJ Green and a stout defense leading the Bengals into the playoffs, and Matthew Stafford staying upright for all 16 games and giving the Motor City the shot in the arm it needed from its football team.

Finally we got affirmative proof of what we suspected all along: Peyton Manning is worth 8-10 wins a year, probably on any team. Hopefully for their sake Andrew Luck (and yes they definitely should draft him) is worth the same.


While this year's playoff drama may simply come down to the question of Packers or Saints, I know the only thing we know about the NFL and any given Sunday is that we don't really know anything at all. I know I'm buckling in for a ride that no one can really predict.

College football, despite the inability have labor disputes, was in much more chaos and turmoil this year. We saw the Ohio State scandal lead to Ohio State finishing with 7 losses for the first time since the 1800's. Yeah you read that right. 1800's. We saw the once king of everthing right about football, Joe Paterno, fall from grace in his actions or inactions during the sex abuse scandals that are ongoing at Penn State.

We saw conference realignment after realignment after realignment take place this year. Lets try to do what the blog suggests and follow the bouncing ball:

The Pac-10 added two new members, Utah and Colorado, to expand its mountain time zone tv coverage. Then flirted with the idea of pretty much owning college football west of the Mississippi by looking to add Texas, Texas Tech, Oklahoma, and Oklahoma State. The Pac-16 would have been an awesome conference but the idea was ultimately scrapped.

The Big 12 meanwhile lost Colorado and Nebraska prior to this season, and then lost Texas A&M and Missouri to SEC and almost lost its 4 biggest schools left to completely annihilate the conference. Down to the Big 8 from the old days, the Big 12 responded by ganking Big East teams TCU and West Virginia. That is clearly enough to survive at this stage and then look to add maybe Boise State or Conference USA teams like Louisville or Big East's Cincinnati to get back to 12 and get a conference championship again.

The Big 10 (which had 11 teams entering the year) added Nebraska, which was an awesome move giving them 12 and a conference championship game for the first time ever. Unfortunately, with a down year from Ohio State and the Penn State scandal, the new fun of Big 10 football was quickly tarnished.

The SEC, not needing to do anything since its the most powerful conference in football raking in 2x the BCS and other bowl money as other conferences added a midwest presence of Missouri and Texas A&M. Yay new teams to hate. 14 is an odd number but the SEC is going to make it work.

The ACC followed suit to 14 adding basketball powerhouses Syracuse and Pitt. They wont add to the misery that is ACC football (can these guys ever win a BCS game?) and they will remain red headed stepchildren to the big daddy in their region, the SEC.

Meanwhile the Big East, the last of the BCS conferences had probably the most eventful time in realignment and ultimately made a farce out of the regional aspect of these conferences. First TCU reneged on its agreement with the Big East and instead went to the Big 12. The West Virginia, the powerhouse in the conference, left to also join the Big 12. Then Pitt and Syracuse abandoned them for the ACC. The Big East was already limited to 8 teams to start the season anyway. Now they are down to 5. How do they respond? By inviting the following teams clearly not from the East Coast: Boise State (Idaho), San Diego State (California), Houston (Texas), SMU (Texas), and only one team from the actual east coast: Central Florida.

In case you couldn't follow that geography, heres a map, not really Big East anymore:



It will be interesting to see how this plays out this upcoming year and in years down the road, but I doubt we've seen the end of realignment. As we start the New Year with a BCS championship that I doubt half the nation wanted, we can only assume the biggest change on the horizon is a plus one playoff system that would've given Oklahoma State it's much deserved shot.

I chronicled the basketball playoffs in the infancy of this blog, but it bears repeating: DALLAS MAVERICKS 2010-2011 NBA CHAMPIONS. Hate him or love him, you know if Mark Cuban was the owner of your favorite team you felt good about the future. Al Davis was all aboutabout excellence, Jerry Jones even roams the sidelines, but no owner in professional sports wears his desire on his sleeve the way Mark did. He wants to win. As long as Mark has the passion, I see a bright future in Dallas for years to come. You earned the right to carry that trophy wherever you want.


Tragically several All-Stars and even future Hall of Famers getting their first ring (Dirk, Jason Kidd, Jason Terry, Peja Stojakovic, Shawn Marion, Caron Butler) was not the lead story of this basketball year. In fact it didn't even finish second. The lead story of the year was whether the hellspawn Miami Heat could coexist with LeBron James as the Robin to Dwyane Wade's Batman, whether Erik Spoelstra could properly manage this hyper talented group, whether Chris Bosh looked like an ostrich, and whether LeBron really made the right "decision" (even though technically it was made in 2010). For my money they are scary, and I didn't like playing them one bit in the Finals so I think in the end he found his best chance to get a ring right now.


The desire for all things Heat was so rampant that ESPN had an entire blog on its website devoted it.: The Heat Index. ESPN has blogs and pages devoted to entire cities, but nowhere else did it have a page devoted specifically to one individual team. The Heat this year were more polarizing in its sport than Tebow is in his and ESPN ate it up. As we start the new basketball year it's clear the Heat are no longer as intriguing as they were last year. The reason for that is the second biggest story of the year: The NBA lockout.

This was an actual lockout that did threaten a season, and ultimately led to 16 fewer regular season games per season. What the lockout was supposed to accomplish was allow the small market teams to compete easier in the league by making it easier to retain your own talent and by punishing big market teams with huge payrolls with a strict luxury tax for going over the salary cap.

The problem: IMMEDIATELY after the lockout ended business resumed as usual. Chris Paul and Dwight Howard, two top 10 players in the NBA who were the centerpieces of their small market franchises demanded trades to *gasp* big market teams. It is true the luxury tax ramifications of the new CBA don't kick in for another couple of years, but nothing changed in the NBA to this point. Chris Paul is in LA (almost to the Lakers) and if the Lakers really wanted to, they could get Dwight as well.

It remains to be seen how this crazy season plays out but it doesnt seem like the NBA has even really started yet. Just feels like we are still in training camp. Going to be a weird NBA season when all is said and done.

In golf we all though Tiger might make his comeback this year, but it wasnt until a December surge (when he traditionally never plays) winning the Chevron World Championship and providing the winning match in the President's Cup that we started to see a Tiger who was putting it together. I expect huge things from him this year and yet another year removed from the scandal. It's about this time Kobe put his Colorado problems behind him, gained more sponsorships and revolutionized his game even further leading to back to back titles.

It was a memorable year in sports as always, and it kicks off again this year with the BCS National Championship on Jan. 9th, with the NFL playoffs in high gear immediately after it. Welcome to 2012 sports fans. I sure hope the Mayans were wrong.

Friday, November 11, 2011

Unhappy Valley and What We Learned This Last Month 11.11.11

First, I apologize to my devoted readers for a lack of posts for a month. Life happens sometimes. Let's get down to business:

It's unavoidable. You can not discuss the current college football landscape without devoting time to the Penn State scandals. I have debated how to handle this particular topic and I think after a little bit of reflection I think the whole thing is just sad. How sad? Every single party involved in this story has done things the wrong way. Let's start at the top.

Jerry Sandusky - This guy is fucked up in the head, if the allegations are true. . Plain and simple. How fucked up? If you can stomach it, here is the graphic representation to what he did to 8 (known) young boys, none of which was older than 13 at the time of the alleged abuse: http://www.freep.com/assets/freep/pdf/C4181508116.PDF

That's the indictment handed down by the Grand Jury that is the root of this story. I think the most disgusting part of this is the man sets up a program in the 70's called The Second Mile which was supposed to provide support to children struggling with poor, broken or negligent homes. These are boys who are already emotionally weak that are being preyed on by Coach Sandusky. If you believe in this sort of thing, there is a special spot in hell reserved him, if the allegations are true.

Administrators at Penn State - Athletic Director Curley, Vice President Schultz, and President Spanier have no right to continue leading a well-regarded public institution of higher learning. If the allegations are true these men owe every boy molested after 1998 more than an apology. Why? Well, they all acknowledged that Coach Sandusky was investigated for the oldest incident referred to in the indictment which occurred in 1998. Regardless of the level of inappropriate touching that occurred (which in the indictment refers to at least naked "bear hugs" in the shower), Sandusky should have been stopped there. Even without criminal charges, adminsitrators who should be looking out for the best interests of not only the University, but children introduced to the University, should have distanced themselves not only from Sandusky but from The Second Mile which called Penn State its home. They did neither, instand accepting Sandusky's retirement and negotiating a package that allowed Sandusky free range to continue using the same facilities where much of the alleged abuse occurred, and where the worst of the alleged abuse would occur in 2002.

This is what makes the culture of the administrative staff of Penn State so repugnant. In 2002, according the grand jury, then-graduate assistant Mike McQueary, first heard, then witnessed Sandusky having anal sex with a boy estimated to be 10 years old in the football locker room showers. While McQueary's conduct will be reviewed shortly, he indicates that he did inform his father, who then encouraged him to report the incident to Coach Paterno. He was also interviewed by the above administrators and testified that he told them the extent of the contact. The administrators tell a different to the grand jury, a story that the grand jury find so incredible that both Schultz and Curley have been charged with perjury. Schultz and Curley allege they were only told of horseplay in the shower. Regardless, their proposed course of action, later ratified by President Spanier, was to tell Sandusky not to bring children on campus anymore and took away his shower key. Curley and Schultz later testify they knew these provisions to be unenforceable.

Are you fucking serious? High level administrators of a public institution thought it wasn't prudent to report this conduct (even if it really was only reported to this as horseplay) to anyone? Even in light of the very recent 1998 investigation of the same guy for the same type of conduct in the SAME FUCKING PLACE???? These men are every bit as culpable for every other instance of abuse taking place on Penn State's campus after that 1998 investigation, which is at least 3 known victims who were abused in the Penn State showers, and another to be abused at Sandusky's home and at the victim's high school as recently as 2008 or 2009. Good riddance to all three of you.

Coach Joe Paterno - This is the saddest section for me to write. Coach Paterno represented all that was right with college football. Penn State never had a sniff of scandal with its program in the 40+ years he lead the program. They produced wonderful talent on the field and emphasized being good citizens off the field. You never hear about suspensions either at the college or pro level for Penn State athletes for off the field conduct. It was THE model program in modern collegiate sports and it was still widely successful, even this year, with a current 7-1 record and a decent shot at the Big 10 title despite being unranked to start the season. All reports indicate Paterno to be a model citizen and demanded the same from his student-athletes. Paterno's conduct in this event basically shatters any illusion, whether rationally or irrationally, that there is anything good left in collegiate football. If the coaches aren't violating numerous NCAA rules, or the players taking 100 dollar handshakes and free stripper parties, the "good" men in charge of instilling life long values into their student athletes are refusing to follow their own lessons.

I am saddened with what I read about Paterno's conduct. Informed of the 2002 incident by Coach McQueary, Paterno decided the appropriate thing to do was "pass the buck" onto the school administrators who clearly proved themselves incompetent after failing to remove Sandusky from Penn State altogether after the 1998 investigation. You would think if any man in college sports would do the right thing it was coach Paterno. I understand that it involved a very close friend in Sandusky, a man who coached along side him for 30(!) years. But Coach Sandusky was no longer Coach Sandusky and honestly Coach Paterno owed that child in 2002 much more than he gave him.

What I think makes the conduct more reprehensible is based on speculation, but Coach Sandusky abruptly retired in 1999 after being told by Paterno that he was no longer the "coach-in-waiting". The timeline is far too coincidental, but I believe, and many others do as well, that the reason for this stemmed from the 1998 investigation. Coach Paterno knew of the 1998 investigation and that probably spurred the move away from Coach Sandusky, yet, when presented in 2002 with another chance to properly report his conduct, Coach Paterno passed the buck. It's sad to think that Coach Paterno after 40 years of extolling more than just football wisdom would fail in his own lesson, but he did, and unfortunately I think he is as culpable as those despicable administrators.

Graduate-Assistant McQueary - Coach McQueary was the wide receivers coach at Penn State for the 2011 season, but at the time of the 2002 incident he witnessed he was a graduate assistant with the program. If Coach McQueary's testimony is turthful, and the grand jury found it to be so, he at least did not sugarcoat the event. What he did fail to do was rescue a kid with a grown man raping him, or contacting the proper authorities. Sandusky was no longer a coach with Penn State (even though he was a coach at the time McQueary was QBing for Penn State in the late 90's) and had no reason not to immediately call the cops. It was another failure in judgment that allowed Sandusky to continue doing what he did and making at least one more known victim after this incident. A call to the police would have ended Sandusky's reign of terror of vulnerable boys right then and there. Yet at least another kid was allowed to be abused because McQueary as a 28 year old man couldnt call the cops on child rape. The trustees erred in not firing his ass, but all was made right as McQueary is no longer coaching for Penn State and now is in hiding under protective custody like some mafia rat. Good riddance.

The Media - The media did a poor job reporting this incident and it is partly their fault and their fear of what has become an overly sensitive American society for helping incite the riots. The media never let on as to the severity of the conduct by Sandusky or the absolute failure of administration by all of those mentioned above, yet inflamed the passions of a nation that relies on the media to actually tell them the news and muddling the story to the point that Coach Paterno was villain number 1. I understand the angle, it's Joe Paterno for crying out loud, but the poor level of reporting as to the severity of the actions led in part to the rioting at Penn State. The media is charged with reporting the news and as disgusting as it is, the media and the public can not be afraid to know that Sandusky allegedly raped a 10 year old boy, forced oral copulation on others, and at a minimum rubbed his naked body on the naked body of several young boys. Tell it like it is media, that's your job. Who cares if the news isn't exactly PG? Real life is not PG. If you reported the news accurately, Penn State's student body may not have rioted that night when Paterno was rightly fired.

The Trustees of Penn State University - I know, let's have a press conference at 10pm on a Thursday night (a prime drinking night for students) that inexplicably allows non-credentialed students in the conference and announce that we told Joe Paterno he is fired over the phone. Whose brilliant idea was this? First, even though his conduct was reprehensible, Paterno gave so much to the University he deserved the dignity of being fired to his face. That has to be at least partly responsible for inflaming the passions of the students. But the manner in which this was all hastily put together was completely irresponsible. This was a decision that was not so urgent as to require a response at 10pm on Thursday night, a response at 10am on Friday would have worked just as sufficiently and allowed the Trustees to prepare for any fallout from the announcement.

Instead the Trustees lacked the foresight to believe that firing the most legendary Penn State staff member over the telephone wouldn't cause drunk students to get rowdy. Are you kidding? Of all the living collegiate coaches maybe only Coach K at Duke is more famous. The Trustees should have given themselves a chance to prepare, instead the campus was caught off guard and allowed for a riot to take place. It's clear that ALL the leaders of Penn State University have no fucking clue what they are doing. If I was a Penn State student I would want a refund on my administrative fees, because they are obviously not going towards paying competent people.

Penn State Students - Demonstrating is one thing, rioting like Vancouver is another. Educate yourselves before you start burning and damaging other people's property. I understand the media did a poor job telling you the real story, but the news was out there. Plus, even though the Occupy Wall Street movement may be aimless and disjointed, the reason it still has legs is because it's non-violent. You shamed yourselves and your University which has already done so much to shame itself. If you pushed over a news van or danced on top of car, grow up. You only serve to marginalize yourself.

In the end the real tragedy is that these kids from underprivileged or broken backgrounds were made to be victims by the head of the very organization that was supposed to help them. The other adults put in place to help protect them turned the other way and allowed these 10-13 year old boys to be sexually abused in a manner that they may never recover from. Of all the parties in this incident, it's sad that the only party that did no wrong was the victims, because in reality they couldn't help themselves.

Penn State, the model of how a good program can operate legitimately, still failed in living up the lessons it extols every day to dozen of students. It's a sad day for not only college football, but really the human race.

In other news, there is still a BCS race going on. Oklahoma is out, just as I predicted. Even if several other teams like Stanford and Oklahoma State lose, they will never recover from a home loss to unranked Texas Tech.

Unfortunately, I also had the second half of my BCS title game wiped out last weekend. In what was billed as a possible "Game of the Century" Alabama lost an overtime heartbreaker to LSU in Alabama, 9-6. This is where I regret not blogging the last month, because I told my brother that any spread on this game larger than 3 is stupid because the score is going to be 12-9. The game involved the two best defenses on paper, offenses who can run but will struggle to pass. Meaning some yards can be gained but you can't expect much scoring. And that's what happened. LSU has demonstrated this year time and again they are the team to be reckoned with and dismantling what might be the best of the Pac-12 on a neutral field, the best of the Big East on the road and the other possible best in SEC on the road, they earned that #1 ranking. Assuming no hiccups against Arkansas or (probably) South Carolina, LSU earned its place in the title game.

I thought LSU had too tough of a schedule and not nearly enough offense to get through unscathed and they proved me wrong, to the benefit of my dad who is an LSU alum. I'm happy for him even though they flat out embarrassed my Gators.

Something I am happy about is that I extolled the virtues of Oklahoma State and Stanford all year and they sit pretty at that number 2 and number 4 BCS spot (how Alabama is ahead of Stanford shocks me). They both have do or die tests coming up against Oklahoma and Oregon respectively and if they both win, well at least I was right they were good teams, but with them and Boise State probably undefeated, I think it would be nice if we had a playoff. No one has any idea really if Oklahoma State is better than Stanford or vice versa. Oklahoma State can put the points up as well as anyone, but their defense is quite suspect. Stanford has Andrew Luck, but the real strength of the team is to shove down the defense's throat on the run. The styles are so unique but I think each team has proved they are elite and each team woudl really deserve a shot at taking down the Tigers of Baton Rouge.

This doesn't even include Boise State which went into the state of Georgia and beat the Bulldogs pretty soundly. Over the last decade Boise State has gone into the jungle and come out victorious time and again. They have beaten Oklahoma, Virginia Tech, a supposedly superior TCU team in 2009, and now Georgia. These are all high level programs in their own right and Boise has beaten them all. They manhandled Utah last year who is now in the Pac-12. I think any talking head who dismisses Boise State because their schedule sucks should take a long hard look at them. I would not be surprised if they were the second or third best team in the nation this year.

In other news the ACC still sucks, they just keep beating each other and generally behaving mediocre and just when you thought maybe a team would emerge like Clemson they lose. Virginia Tech and Clemson are vying for the title but I wouldnt be surprised if the ACC champ has 2 loses. They still have a long way to go, even though I picked Florida State to rep them in the BCS title game.

The Big 10 is an even bigger mess. Wisconsin, Nebraska, Michigan State, and Michigan all have 2 losses. The leader is Penn State with one loss, which will likely change this weekend with everything going on there. It's impossible to believe that Penn State has the proper level of participation from coaches and players to be ready for Nebraska. Nebraska may still come out of here after all.

If I were to pick my BCS game right now it would be LSU and Stanford. I believe LSU can't be beat right now, even though they still have games against #8 Arkansas and #15 South Carolina. I believed all year that Stanford would beat Oregon and I still no reason to think otherwise. I think Oklahoma State's defense is too much of a liability and beating Oklahoma might be a tough task. Especially if Oklahoma thinks by beating the #2 team in the country that they can get back into BCS talks.

Moving on the pro front, the Suck for Luck sweepstakes are heating up:

1. Indianapolis Colts -It's clear there are too many problems to fix to make Luck the answer. The defense sucks, the offensive line sucks, the run game sucks, and the QB sucks. If Indy ends up with the first pick you still have to take Luck (unless you believe these recent rabble-rousers thinking Barkley is the same). Manning is 35, has had 3 neck surgeries and may actually be at the end of his career sooner than some expected. You need an heir apparent and you need to give him a year or two to learn from the best. But if you get a king's ransom for that pick and you believe in Barkley I think you can make a trade.

2. Miami Dolphins - The need him. It's all they all missing. Matt Moore actually pretends to be an NFL QB and the Dolphins win running away. Beating Kansas city was a bad move.

3. St. Louis Rams - I think they end up with leik 4 or 5 wins taking them out of the running. Plus with 50 mil in Bradford and still so many other problems I think you pass on Luck and get mother fuckin Justin Blackmon. Bradford needs a stud to throw to and he is just way too fucking good.

4. Minnesota Vikings - Can't use him. I always thought Ponder was a good pick (better than Locker taken two picks ahead of him) and he has been serviceable. If Minnesota can keep the talent aroudn him I think Ponder has a chance to blossom. Plus Minnesota has some defense defects they need to cure in that front 7 with their top pick.

5. Carolina Panters - Obviously not. Even thought I think Cam Newton sucks ass they have bigger needs. The lowest point total in any loss this year is 24. The others: 28, 30, 30, 31, 34. So where do they need help? Exactly on defense. Andrew Luck offers them no better chance to win than Newton at this point.

Hon. Mention: Kansas City - WTF? Way to go on and win 4 in a row and pretend like you are the reigning AFC West champs. No Luck for you, even though he would instantly make your team a new perennial Colts. Yeah, I said it.

Washington Redskins - They won too many early on, but now they look like total shit. 3 may be too many, but it wouldn't surprise if they didn't win anymore even though they play Miami, Seattle, and Minnesota. But, seeing how two of those teams are on the watch list and the third is the next Hon. Mention, they can help themselves out by tanking completely. Beck/Grossman is not the answer. In fact, after watching Beck the last couple of weeks I can't believe Shanahan thinks he gives him the best chance to win. He's terrible.

Seattle Seahawks - There is talent here, but the QB is just terrible. I think Seattle is sucking for Barkley more than Luck, especially with the Carroll connection, but they only sit on 2 wins and I could see them losing out.

TEBOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOW!

My Super Bowl prediction looks much better now than it did, despite Pittsburgh late defensive collapse against Baltimore. Who is really the best team in the AFC? New England and the Jets and especially the Bills have looked vulnerable this year. Baltimore looked awful last month and probably should've lost Sunday night to Pittsburgh. Meanwhile Pittsburgh has turned the corner and has woken up now that we are halfway through. Green Bay is easily the best team in the league and only injuries can bring them down (and even then they survived last year). It was a good young team that I believed was a new dynasty based on age/talent of the team and it's holding true.

The Eagles are no dream team. Way too many holes on the defensive 7 and the offensive line. They just don't have the same explosiveness on offense as the Packers or Lions or the same defensive prowess as say San Francisco or the Bears to be able to win consistently. The Eagles are in real danger, and this time it has nothing to do with Vick being unable to win the big one.

Speaking of SF, what are they really? 7-1? Are they really the 2nd best team in the NFC? Probably not. Honestly, to the chagrin of my 49er fan readers, I think they may be the 6th best team when it comes down to playoff time. In a playoff game, even at whatever they call Candlestick now, I still believe the Packers, Falcons, Saints, Bears, and even the Giants/Cowboys NFC East winner would beat them. The defense is amazing, but you just can't fully trust that offense, and in a playoff game where intensity is increased I think Alex Smith crumbles to dust and San Francisco is lucky to score 10. But hey, it's better than it's been in years for the Bay Area.

The Patriots coronation was premature (as usual). Philip Rivers has been really bad and San Diego is in trouble of losing the division for a second consecutive year. Palmer may really have been the answer in Oakland as you can only assume he'll get mroe comfortable and he has another 10 days to learn before his next game after winning a huge Thursday road game in San Diego.

TEBOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOW!!!

Finally, it was too early to count out Atlanta, and thinking New Orleans just may not have had enough skill to navigate a tough schedule was wrong as well. The NFC is shaping up as the best conference which is rare lately given the recent dominance of teams like New England, Indianapolis, Pittsburgh, Baltimore, and the Jets. If I were a betting man I would put money on the spread of the NFC representative in the Super Bowl right now.

As always, feel free to comment, and I'm glad to be back!

Wednesday, October 19, 2011

Fall Classic, Take Two

Well at least the phrase "there's always next year" actually meant something this time. A year after playing some awful baseball and losing to a team that sports 8 players in its lineup that resembled my offensive talent in old man softball last week (seriously, how do you hit into two double plays in one game in old man softball?), the Texas Rangers return to the World Series looking for that elusive ring.

6 words: I could get used to this.

After spending the first 25 years of my fandom rooting for a perennial loser owned by one of the stupidest men ever to run a country, having a juggernaut like the current Texas Rangers is pretty damn cool. The Rangers have a relatively young team, a loaded farm program, a good GM, a CEO/Owner dedicated to winning, and now a tremendously huge new revenue stream from a newly minted regional TV contract deal that can be used to go out and buy Prince Fielder.

All of this started with three people: Ron Washington, Mike Maddux, and Nolan Ryan. How did Nolan and Mike contribute? Lets look at something. In 2008, the year before Ryan and Maddux took over their respective roles as President and pitching coach, the team ERA was 5.37. IN '09 it was 4.38. In '10 it was 3.93. In '11 it was 3.79. They've done it with a converted closer (CJ Wilson), a pitcher who had to go to Japan for two years to keep his babies in diapers (Colby Lewis), a pitcher so young and with so much raw left handed power he had no idea how to harness it (Derek Holland), a rookie full season starter (Matt Harrison), and probably their most talented starting pitcher as the closer (Neftali Feliz).

So what happened? Two changes in philosophies that came with Ryan and Maddux. Maddux has been on record as saying the perfect inning is 3 pitches, not 9. Three strikeouts isn't that good. His coaching has resulted in pitchers looking to induce bad contact as opposed to nibbling the strike zone to induce strikeouts. Any Red Sox fan who watched Daisuke Matsuzaka pitch with otherworldly talent but with inability to trust that he could induce bad contact is sadly shaking his head right now. It's no small wonder that the Rangers are among the top teams in turning double plays (tip of the cap to Andrus/Kinsler as well). Instead of looking for the strikeout with a runner on, Texas pitchers look to induce bad contact for the double play to simply erase that runner who did get on and as a result get out of the inning faster.

Ryan brought a different attitude as well. A pitcher known for his longevity not only in career (an amazing 26 regular seasons), but also in individual outings, Ryan (with Maddux on board) banished pitch counts as a determining factor for pulling a pitcher. This benefits the team two-fold. First it allows a team to allow a starter to continue dominating a lineup as he had been the first 100 pitches thus increasing the likelihood they win and keeping the bullpen fresh for more important uses. Second, it offers a mental stability to a pitcher. When a pitcher knows he is on a pitch count he is probably more likely to press in those later innings just to get through a few more batters. Of course in addition to no pitch count ceilings, Ryan instituted a strenuous cardio program for pitchers too to keep up their stamina even though they only pitched once every 5 games. Between these two additions, no starter has been lost to a season ending tommy john surgery or blown rotator cuff or something.

It has been nothing but joy watching these two guys transform the pitching staff into a strength instead of the pile of shit that our offense always had to get over. But what Ron Washington has done to these guys as a whole has really put it over the top, and kudos to Nolan Ryan and GM Jon Daniels for having the foresight to see what Ron (hired before '07 season) was growing in that clubhouse when they had the tough choice of whether to fire him before the '10 season for cocaine use. Washington has kept the club loose, often strutting in the dugout like some cheesy caricature of a 70's pimp, and is usually the most animated man in the dugout when good things happen. My favorite moments are when Washington sits in a stool and starts his legs running like he is running with the guys out on the basepaths. I love that in my manager.

What I also love is his desire to keep it loose while keeping it professional. There is a difference between being loose and being unprofessional *cough* beer and fried chicken *cough*. Back in the day the Rangers used to employ Mark Teixeira prior to trading him to Atlanta for...wait for it...Neftali Feliz, Elvis Andrus, and Matt Harrison. Yes 3 instrumental pieces in our 2011 WS run for a player who can hit like a beast in a 13-2 rout of the Kansas City Royals in May, but has no idea how to play in the postseason (.207 with 3 home runs in 31 games). Tex and Ron were having problems with each other because of differences in plate philosophies where Ron wanted Tex to take pitches in the later innings to get something really good to hit off of a tired starter or mediocre reliever instead of jumping on the first reasonable pitch he saw. Tex was afraid he'd only ever get one reasonable pitch and being selfish jumped on it and more often then not killed rallies or even prevented them. Since one is still here and the other isn't I'll let you guess you won. I like that in my manager. The ability to let guys play but demand a level of professionalism when he needs it. This is after all the guy whose claim to fame in the Moneyball book and movie is turning a catcher (Scott Hatteberg) into a first baseman during his time as infield coach with the A's. He knows how to play the game and he knows how to keep players loose while reining them in at the same time.

Thanks to these three guys, and Jon Daniels who as GM has really done a nice job bringing in talent both at the farm level and the big league level I can now really look forward to long run r near the top of the American League every year. And no, I will never get bored of it.

In our second go around I remain as confident as I was going into the World Series last year. We may not have Cliff Lee and our rotation has been shaky at best and shitty at worst (Im looking at you CJ) but our bullpen and lineup is much deeper this year. What a travesty it was having to play 55 year old Vladimir Guerrero in the outfield just to get his bat in the lineup in NL parks. Sure, the Cardinals have Carpenter and a much better offense than those pricks in San Francisco (nice championship defense, btw) but we already faced two teams with better pitching and comparable lineups.

I don't like facing the wild card team that had to claw their way into the playoffs and then knock off the two best teams in the NL, but I think Texas knows what it is doing this year. Any improvements in our starting pitching in this series and this could be a sweep. I'll stay conservative and go Texas in 5.

Reason why I worry? According to ESPN "Experts" 21 out of 25 picked Texas to win. I never like being the overwhelming favorite. There is something to be said for the "no one believed in us!" rallying cry. But I don't think it's enough. It's our time! Let's go Rangers!!!